The gambling website OddsShark summed up the early action Monday, and found three politicians with better odds than Biden of winning the Electoral College vote in four years. Vice President-elect Kamala Harris has the best odds at 5-to-1, according to lines set by the Caribbean gaming site BetOnline.
BetOnline actually gave President-elect Biden to-1 odds, in line with the chances of Democratic primary opponent Andrew Yang and just ahead of Mayor Pete Buttigieg and Michelle Obama, who has never signaled an interest in running for president. To some degree, the lines appear to bake in speculation that Biden will not run for a second term.
But the year-old has made no public promise not to run again in four years. Rumors have also swirled that Donald Trump will re-enter the race during the next election cycle. BetOnline put the chances of him returning to the White House at to-1, identical to a pair of his favorite Democratic targets: Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Elizabeth Warren. But wagering on the election in the United Kingdom's legal betting market is soaring, setting up the US vote to be the most-bet-upon event in history.
The identity of the bettor, who placed the wager on October 29, is not known. That's slightly better odds for Trump than the 2-to-1 odds last week. Read More. The bet could be a good omen for Biden: The 10 largest bets in Betfair's history before now, all on sporting events, have been winners. Big-money bettors typically bet on the favorite, said Pete Watt, public relations manager for OddsChecker US , which provides advice and information to gamblers.
And they typically come very close to the event taking place, he said. Because of that, those bettors might wait until they're convinced they can get the best possible odds on their bets. And it takes several days for a bet that has been made to show up in the data, which is why the October 29 bet has only now become known. So the total wagering on the vote is likely well above that level.
Since Betfair will allow bettors to keep wagering until a winner is declared, there could be days more betting, if not more, as vote counting goes on. The winning bet will be who becomes the next president, not who wins the popular vote. What data journalists say about the election models giving Trump slim chance of winning. But the big money is not always right.
After Colorado voters approved sports betting to begin last year, airwaves and drive-time billboards have been inundated with advertisements for sportsbooks. And there are any number of pundits and websites that analyze the odds of a multitude of political events. These analysts review not just the pure polling data, but the actual probability of outcomes.
For example, the FiveThirtyEight. Each simulation incorporated a host of variables, from new polls to economic data to the effect of breaking news. I am by no means an expert on the art of gambling, but that sure seems a lot like what odds-makers do in Las Vegas.
Certainly during , as sports arenas were shuttered and leagues closed, people across the political spectrum began assessing the probability of electoral outcomes with a fervor unseen before in our country. Given half a chance, I am sure that betting establishments could cash in on that obsession in short order.
In the meantime, putting potential political events into numerical predictions remains one of the most frequent parlor games of media outlets and politicos across the country. For example, last month the Chicago Tribune ran a slideshow putting odds on who President Donald Trump would pardon before leaving office in January. The odds-on favorite came through on Dec. Given the events of Jan. I have not seen odds on Trump pardoning anyone else — or everyone else — involved in the insurrection at the U.
Capitol, but would not be surprised if such a cynical line existed. Someone as wildly erratic and unpredictable as Trump must be great for bookies trying to attract action. But even as Trump gives way to a far more stable, predictable Biden Administration, there will no doubt be plenty of people taking odds on outcomes over the next four years. As the midterms approach, individual seats and control of both chambers of Congress will become the primary target of speculation.
While midterms typically are not kind to the party of a sitting president, variables such as redistricting and the lingering effect of Trump on the GOP will sure make for increased dispute on the outcome. Even as betting actual money remains illegal, the odds are excellent that people will continue to pay greater attention to these prognostications.
PTI file india news. By hindustantimes. Had Dilip Ghosh not been there, she would have announced her nephew's name as the next chief minister, Amit Shah said. The Union home minister, who was scheduled to visit West Bengal on January , had to cancel his trip after an explosion outside the Israeli embassy in New Delhi.
Later in the evening, Shah will address a meeting of the party's social media volunteers in Kolkata. ANI Photo west bengal assembly election. He will address the rally at the Thakurbari ground, the party's chief spokesperson Anil Baluni said. West Bengal chief minister Mamata Banerjee in an addresses in Kolkata. Comparing TMC to an ailing mother, Banerjee said the ex-Trinamool leaders who have joined the BJP were bad children who left their mother when she needed them.
By HT Correspondent , Kolkata. I am a strong person and will keep my head high as long as I live and till then I will live like a Royal Bengal Tiger," Mamata Banerjee said. The farmers will be left with nothing. Nadda also flagged off the second phase of the Parivartan Yatra journey for change - the rechristened form of the party's rath yatra - from Tarapith. File photo west bengal assembly election. Polling official checks the control unit of an electronic voting machine at a dispatch center in Ahmadabad, India, AP west bengal assembly election.
The app will help reduce errors that occur due to incorrect entries as well as help in the reconciliation of the figures from the electronic voting machines EVM to the turnout.
You should also look at their licensing arrangements to make sure that they hold a licence from the United Kingdom Gambling Commission. Customer service provision is another area to check, as a good bookie is always transparent and easy to reach if you have a query or a complaint. You should make a point of looking at our bookmaker reviews here at Betting. Of course, it is also a good idea to look at other aspects of the site too, such as whether it is well-designed and easy to navigate around.
You should also check to see if they have an app for betting on mobile devices too. This can make the process of betting on the election much simpler, especially if you want to place a bet quickly in reaction to something happening during the election campaign. The whole process of placing a bet works in exactly the same way as it would if you were betting on a football match or a game of cricket.
You need to find a good bookmaker. Once you have done that, locate the politics or specials tab in the list of sports offered. Once you have done that, you should find a page dedicated to presidential election betting markets.
There are usually several US election betting markets on this page. You will notice that there are often many more markets on offer than just the outright winner. As we will allude to below in more detail, outright winner is just one of many markets that bookmakers offer when it comes to US president election betting.
You need to find a bookie that offers a varied range of markets on the election too. In the next section of this article, you can find out how to improve your chances of creating a successful US election betting strategy once you have found the right bookie. This makes presidential election betting an interesting challenge for punters. It is really important that you look beyond the outright winner market and find the value on offer in less obvious markets. In order to do this successfully, you need to have a good understanding of American culture, regions, history, and how they all apply to political behaviour.
The Deep South is a very different place culturally and politically to metropolitan New York, for example. A place like Boston has a huge Irish influence on its culture and politics, while California is seen as a liberal place, generally speaking. You can see five useful things to keep in mind when you are putting together a US election betting strategy in the next section of this article. If you follow these tips you should put yourself in a strong position when it comes to US president election betting.
The really important thing to keep in mind is that you need to prepare and plan just as thoroughly as you do for more conventional types of bet on sport. The more knowledge you have about the various nuances of American politics and culture, the more likely you are to place successful bets on the US presidential election. So how should you shape a successful presidential election betting strategy? As with all types of wagering, the more knowledge that you have about American politics, the more likely you are to place successful bets.
Read on in this section to pick up some useful. As you can see, US election betting is actually pretty simple to get your head around. When it comes to US election betting UK punters can probably use their normal bookie. If not, there is a great selection of sportsbooks that offer odds for US president election betting. We can help you find one here at Betting.
Make sure that the odds are available in your favoured format, that there is a good range of markets other than the outright winner, and that you adopt a flexible, knowledgeable betting strategy. If you want to know more about the ins and outs of US elections, and the technical terms that are used in them then we have some articles that can help you here at Betting. We can also help you identify which US presidential election betting markets offer you the best chance of success.
If you want to place successful political wagers then Betting. The next US president will be determined by the outcome of the election in November [yyyy]. The winner will come from the two candidates who are standing. You can find out how to bet on which of the candidates is more likely to win the election by checking out our range of articles here at Betting.
We can help you find the right markets to bring the best betting value. You can find the answer to this question by checking out the relevant articles here at Betting. We have a wide range of betting related content here, and that includes tips and hints on how to put together a successful betting strategy for the US presidential election. Whatever type of betting you favour, you can find plenty of valuable insights to help you here at Betting.
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System bets no eligible. STS Highlights. Spreadex Highlights. Green Highlights. Leo Vegas Highlights. Valid for 30 days. Novibet Highlights. Boylesports Highlights. Betvictor Highlights. Sportingbet Highlights. Blue is the Democrat color, and the party just secured a federal government trifecta, after all. However, Pence is a popular establishment Republican once again, and in the interest of healing the nation, this could be a smart move for both sides of the aisle.
Honestly, we have no frame of reference for whether or not this is a customary thing for Presidents to do on Inauguration Day. It…seems like a thing? Perhaps the rationale here is that there might be some security concerns with such a move. These are pretty mundane compared to past Trump betting lines, but if you think you have the inside scoop, you can scoop up some good money wagering on the following:. As soon as Trump even hints at his upcoming schedule, this one will close.
Honestly, we think the favorite here is the right call. Trump is probably pretty keen to get out of Dodge at this point. As a side note, bettors should remember that this line does not preclude or replace the above prop. Thus, if Trump, Jr. If the Trump, Jr. Source: AP News. Your email address will not be published. And it turns out he did!
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