Anyway… Schniederjans has finished top in four of those last 10 starts, which far exceeds the implied odds from his number here. His ball-striking could be turning a corner, too, as Howell gained strokes with his approach for the first time since July at the RSM two weeks ago.
Adam Long has been trending in the right direction over the past few events and now he gets to return to a course where he finished runner-up in Long has made the cut in each of his last four tournaments, including an 11th-place finish in Houston and, most recently, a 30th at the RSM Classic. Considering his form and history I think you can take a chance on Long in some additional markets up to maybe Top 5, but this one feels pretty safe and still provides solid return.
I am giving the Prince of Paspalum another shot this week. Perez has missed four cuts in a row, but the last time we saw him play well was at Corales, where he was in his comfort zone: coastal paspalum. A previous winner at El Camaleon, I feel good about Perez finding his form at a place he has some positive vibes. Recently, we have seen a few golfers in bad form get a win on a course they have good history on.
Robert Streb missed eight of his past 10 cuts prior to winning at the RSM Classic at Sea Island, a course where he had previously won Brian Gay missed nine of his past 10 cuts prior to winning the Bermuda Championship at Port Royal Golf Club, a course where he previously finished third Pat Perez can continue this trend with a strong performance at El Camaleon.
Piercy has played this event four times in the last six years and has yet to finish worse than 26th, including a pair of tops. During that run, Piercy went against Streelman. Ghim is playing some of the best golf of his career thus far with a 23rd, 14th, and 18th in his past three starts. In his past 24 rounds, Ghim ranks 12th in the field in Strokes Gained: Approach indicating his strong iron play.
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