hardwicke stakes betting odds

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Hardwicke stakes betting odds item refunded vulcan betting

Hardwicke stakes betting odds

I used exactly the same base method as described previously see the Queen Anne post for more detailed information. More briefly, I:. The likelihood of each runner running to a certain RPR is shown above Masar blue bars and curve; Communique grey curve; Defoe yellow curve; Mirage Dancer green curve; Morando dark blue curve; Nagano Gold orange curve; Salouen maroon curve; Southern France purple curve. According to the simulations Masar should be outright favourite at around 2.

As mentioned before, a model is only as good as the data that is fed into it. Of the three sample analyses of this type conducted this week, I am least confident about this one given the make-up of the race. Morando is also an interesting case. He has the ability to run a good RPR but is one of the least consistent in the field. As a result, the simulations show him running figures sufficient to win around 1 in 8 renewals, which makes him second-favourite according to the model in the win market.

However, his inconsistency makes him only sixth-favourite in the place market. His dark blue curve helps illustrate that he has a greater variation from poor to excellent in likely RPRs than any of the others. New users only. Awarded as 4 equal free bets total first deposit amount. Odds boosts: Odds boost crediting relies on marketing comms opt-in. Unlocked on deposit. Winnings credited in cash.

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